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Europa League
HJK logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Bolt Arena
Ludogorets

HJK Helsinki
1 - 1
Ludogorets

Hetemaj (55')
Hostikka (51'), Raitala (58'), Boujellab (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tissera (10')
Piotrowski (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between HJK Helsinki and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-0 Inter Turku
Sunday, October 2 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Ludogorets Razgrad

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Real Betis 3-2 Ludogorets
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Honka442.10Sadiku
2VPS391.86Multanen
3Inter Turku361.71Kallman
4Haka351.67Erwin
5KuPS351.67Vayrynen
6HJK Helsinki321.52Radulovic
7Ilves301.43Pennanen
8Oulu301.43Lopez
9SJK291.38Kaukua
10Mariehamn231.10Cledson
11Lahti190.90Chinedu
12HIFK140.67Markkanen

We said: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Ludogorets Razgrad

 HJK will be regarded as slight underdogs heading into Thursday's fixture and the pressure is on them to claim maximum points for the first time in Group C. Meanwhile, Ludogorets can boost their chances of advancing from the group with a victory here, and we can see them coming out on top, especially if they produce a similar performance in Finland as they did in their victory over Roma. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
HJK HelsinkiDrawLudogorets Razgrad
47.3% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 22.46% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 30.24% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 64.82% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.49% (0.288 0.29)35.51% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.45% (0.317 0.32)57.56% (-0.31 -0.31)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.099999999999994 0.1)15.49% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.63% (0.179 0.18)44.37% (-0.174 -0.17)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (0.19500000000001 0.2)23.31% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.279 0.28)57.25% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    HJK Helsinki 47.3%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 30.24%
    Draw 22.46%
HJK HelsinkiDrawLudogorets Razgrad
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.73% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.008 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 9.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 30.24%

How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Ludogorets

HJK Helsinki
31.7%
Draw
14.2%
Ludogorets Razgrad
54.2%
120
rhs 2.0
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