Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon1 - 0Aberdeen
Reaction
Derek McInnes: 'Aberdeen youngsters will learn from Sporting Lisbon defeat'
The Dons featured five players aged 23 and under in their 1-0 Europa League loss.
Sep 26, 14:21
Derek McInnes praises "excellent" Aberdeen following Sporting defeat
The Dons tumbled out of the Europa League with a 1-0 defeat.
Sep 25, 08:03
The Match
Match Report
Derek McInnes' team missed out on a home tie against LASK to reach the group stage.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 52.72% | 21.71% | 25.56% |
| Both teams to score 63.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
