We said: Wisla Krakow 1-2 Rapid Vienna
Although Wisla Krakow's appearance in the Europa League qualifying rounds should be seen as an achievement itself, it is difficult to see them securing a positive result in the first leg.
The hosts' status as a second division side cannot be overlooked, and this should make visitors Rapid Vienna favourites heading into Thursday's clash.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wisla Krakow win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wisla Krakow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Rapid Vienna in this match.