World Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Khalifa International Stadium
Croatia2 - 1Morocco
The Match
Analysis
Sports Mole provides highlights, man of the match and stats from Croatia's 2-1 victory over Morocco in the 2022 World Cup third-place playoff.
Match Report
Croatia claim third spot at the 2022 World Cup courtesy of a 2-1 victory over fellow losing semi-finalists Morocco on Saturday.
Team News
Josko Gvardiol passes a fitness test to line up for Croatia against Morocco in the World Cup third-place playoff at the Khalifa International Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup clash between Croatia and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Morocco could line up for Saturday's World Cup 2022 third-placed playoff with Croatia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Croatia
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in World Cup
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Belgium | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Canada | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Morocco |
38.8% ( -0.86) | 27.99% ( 0.34) | 33.21% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.58% ( -1.17) | 58.42% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.98% ( -0.92) | 79.02% ( 0.92) |
| Croatia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( -1.06) | 29.24% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.8% ( -1.33) | 65.2% ( 1.33) |
| Morocco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% ( -0.25) | 32.78% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.66% ( -0.27) | 69.34% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
Croatia 38.8%
Morocco 33.21%
Draw 27.98%
| Croatia | Draw | Morocco |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.63% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.21% |
How you voted: Croatia vs Morocco
Croatia
49.4%Morocco
50.6%1124
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2022 10am
Form Guide
Build-up
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