Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Puskas Arena
Hungary2 - 0Lithuania
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Montenegro 0-0 Hungary
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, June 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Serbia | 2 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Hungary | 2 | 3 | 4 |
3 | Montenegro | 3 | -1 | 4 |
4 | Lithuania | 2 | -2 | 1 |
5 | Bulgaria | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Hungary 2-0 Lithuania
Hungary's impressive form in Budapest should overwhelm Lithuania's wretched road form in Euros qualifying, with a routing home win likely in the offing on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 77.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 5.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 2-0 with a probability of 18.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.81%) and 3-0 (12.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.65%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hungary in this match.
Result | ||
Hungary | Draw | Lithuania |
77.06% ( 33.14) | 17.08% ( -4.62) | 5.85% ( -28.51) |
Both teams to score 28.09% ( -41.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.27% ( -25.89) | 55.73% ( 25.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.13% ( -25.88) | 76.87% ( 25.88) |
Hungary Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.24% ( 1.74) | 12.76% ( -1.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.98% ( 3.48) | 39.02% ( -3.47) |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
32.19% ( -49.42) | 67.81% ( 49.43) |