We said: Serbia 5-0 Lithuania
Serbia should be able to kick off their qualification campaign with a comfortable victory, and given the disparity between the two sides, it is more likely to be a question of how many they can win by.
With the likes of Mitrovic and Vlahovic to choose from in attack, it would not be a surprise to see the Eagles rack up a victory by a sizeable margin.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 3.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.67%) and 4-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Serbia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Serbia.
-0.09) 
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