We said: Hungary 2-0 Greece
Hungary have proven themselves as more of a force in recent times, qualifying for Euro 2020 and putting up a good fight against strong teams. As such, they should run out comfortable winners, especially considering Greece could not beat Malta in their last match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 27.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Hungary win it was 1-0 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.