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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Israel national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Teddi Malcha Stadium
Andorra national football team

Israel
2 - 1
Andorra

Shlomo (42'), Solomon (61')
Weissman (26'), Shlomo (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rosas Ubach (52')
Llovera (16'), San Nicolas (60'), Guillen (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro 2024 Qualifying clash between Israel and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belarus 1-2 Israel
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Andorra

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Andorra 1-2 Switzerland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Israel 2-0 Andorra

 They may have only scored one Group I goal before a late double in their third fixture, but Israel offer a varied attacking threat and should have the means to break down an obdurate Andorra side. The visitors have been able to test much larger nations of late, but they will surely come up short on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Israel in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Israel.

Result
IsraelDrawAndorra
43.93% (-19.203 -19.2) 21.71% (0.523 0.52) 34.36% (18.683 18.68)
Both teams to score 69.78% (20.573 20.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (17.016 17.02)29.83% (-17.014 -17.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (18.113 18.11)50.99% (-18.111 -18.11)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (-0.292 -0.29)14.5% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)42.49% (0.572 0.57)
Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (24.259 24.26)18.38% (-24.255 -24.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (29.468 29.47)49.52% (-29.466 -29.47)
Score Analysis
    Israel 43.93%
    Andorra 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
IsraelDrawAndorra
2-1 @ 8.42% (-1.415 -1.42)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.978 -0.98)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-6.664 -6.66)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-6.561 -6.56)
3-2 @ 4.59% (1.863 1.86)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-4.304 -4.3)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.505 -0.51)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.886 0.89)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-2.117 -2.12)
4-3 @ 1.25% (0.873 0.87)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-1.353 -1.35)
2-2 @ 7.13% (2.938 2.94)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-3.392 -3.39)
3-3 @ 2.59% (1.816 1.82)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (3.089 3.09)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-0.649 -0.65)
1-3 @ 4.17% (2.948 2.95)
2-3 @ 4.03% (2.834 2.83)
0-2 @ 3.82% (1.623 1.62)
0-3 @ 2.16% (1.533 1.53)
1-4 @ 1.77% (1.505 1.51)
2-4 @ 1.71% (1.451 1.45)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.932 0.93)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.781 0.78)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: Israel vs Andorra

Israel
88.2%
Draw
8.8%
Andorra
2.9%
34
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Israel
4-0
Andorra
Zahavi (3'), Biton (22'), Hemed (26' pen.), Dabbur (38')
Hemed (46')

Vieira (46'), San Nicolas (58'), Rubio (87')
> Match Report
Oct 13, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Andorra
1-4
Israel
Lima (15' pen.)
Rubio (45'), Martinez (83')
Damari (3', 41', 82'), Hemed (96' pen.)
Vermouth (45')
> Match Report
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