We said: Gibraltar 1-1 Andorra
Both nations rarely head into games that they have a genuine chance of winning, but Saturday's clash is one that they can head into with optimism as they bid to finish the year with a positive result.
Nevertheless, there is little to separate these two sides and a low-scoring draw could be on the cards.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gibraltar win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gibraltar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gibraltar would win this match.