Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Kosovo had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Kosovo win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.