Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Israel had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%).
0.07) 
-0.09) 
