MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 18:17:01| >> :600:213463:213463:
Kosovo national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pristina City Stadium
Cyprus national football team

Kosovo
5 - 1
Cyprus

Muslija (22'), Rrudhani (45+1'), Rashani (47'), Muriqi (52', 84')
Kryeziu (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Roberge (81')
Artymatas (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Kosovo and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-1 Kosovo
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 1-0 Greece
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Kosovo 2-1 Cyprus

Cyprus have never won away in the UEFA Nations League, and after losing 2-0 to Kosovo in the reverse fixture, we think that they will fall to a narrow defeat on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 53.01%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result
KosovoDrawCyprus
53.01% (0.056999999999995 0.06) 23.19% (-0.123 -0.12) 23.79% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.33% (0.48999999999999 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (0.61 0.61)44.13% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (0.592 0.59)66.51% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (0.24299999999999 0.24)16.63% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (0.434 0.43)46.46% (-0.436 -0.44)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (0.39099999999999 0.39)32.43% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (0.436 0.44)68.95% (-0.438 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Kosovo 53.01%
    Cyprus 23.79%
    Draw 23.19%
KosovoDrawCyprus
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.01%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.062 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.39% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 23.79%

How you voted: Kosovo vs Cyprus

Kosovo
77.5%
Draw
13.5%
Cyprus
9.0%
89
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2022 5pm
League C2
Cyprus
0-2
Kosovo

Panayiotou (90+3')
Berisha (65'), Zhegrova (78')
Kastrati (30'), Kryeziu (36'), Loshaj (80'), Dresevic (90')
rhs 2.0
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