MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:32:25| >> :600:6758019:6758019:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Kazakhstan national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 3pm UK
Astana Arena
San Marino national football team

Kazakhstan
3 - 1
San Marino

Chesnokov (19', 51'), Aymbetov (90+2' pen.)
Kenesov (63'), Erlanov (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Franciosi (60')
Mularoni (50'), Fabbri (88'), Pancotti (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Kazakhstan and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

All competitions
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

San Marino

All competitions
Last Game: San Marino 1-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Kazakhstan 4-0 San Marino

 Although San Marino will play with a sense of freedom now that they have finally found the back of the net, this should be one-way traffic in the home side's favour. With goal difference still having the potential to play its part, expect a ruthless showing from Kazakhstan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 90.49%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 2.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 4-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.39%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kazakhstan would win this match.

Result
KazakhstanDrawSan Marino
90.49% (-1.325 -1.33) 7.21% (0.9391 0.94) 2.29% (0.3931 0.39)
Both teams to score 32.74% (0.813 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.39% (-2.433 -2.43)28.61% (2.439 2.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.5% (-3.059 -3.06)49.5% (3.065 3.07)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.24% (-0.563 -0.56)3.76% (0.5711 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.9% (-1.911 -1.91)16.1% (1.918 1.92)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.02% (1.042 1.04)65.98% (-1.035 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.58% (0.4251 0.43)93.42% (-0.419 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Kazakhstan 90.49%
    San Marino 2.29%
    Draw 7.21%
KazakhstanDrawSan Marino
3-0 @ 14.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.35% (0.67 0.67)
4-0 @ 11.97% (-0.57 -0.57)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.775 0.78)
5-0 @ 7.86% (-0.789 -0.79)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.474 0.47)
4-1 @ 4.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
6-0 @ 4.3% (-0.668 -0.67)
5-1 @ 3.27% (-0.193 -0.19)
7-0 @ 2.01% (-0.429 -0.43)
6-1 @ 1.79% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.095 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 90.49%
1-1 @ 3.39% (0.437 0.44)
0-0 @ 2.48% (0.343 0.34)
2-2 @ 1.15% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 7.21%
0-1 @ 1.03% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 2.29%

How you voted: Kazakhstan vs San Marino

Kazakhstan
76.7%
Draw
13.3%
San Marino
10.0%
30
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
San Marino
0-3
Kazakhstan

Capicchioni (67'), Lazzari (70')
Vorogovskiy (37'), Tagybergen (64' pen.), Zainutdinov (90+5')
Zainutdinov (72'), Kuat (89')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2019 5pm
Group Stage
San Marino
1-3
Kazakhstan
Bernardi (77')
Palazzi (54'), Simoncini (85'), Ceccaroli (90')
Zaynutdinov (6'), Suyumbayev (22'), Shchetkin (26')
Miroshnichenko (32'), Tagybergen (45')
Jun 11, 2019 3pm
Group Stage
Kazakhstan
4-0
San Marino
Kuat (45'), Fedin (62'), Suyumbayev (65'), Islamkhan (79')
Yerlanov (31'), Shomko (90')

Censoni (48'), Brolli (64')
rhs 2.0
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