MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 16:07:54| >> :600:9406148:9406148:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Malta national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Infetti Ground
Ukraine national football team

Malta
1 - 3
Ukraine

Mbong (12')
Marcolini (59'), Pisani (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Camenzuli (38' og.), Dovbyk (43' pen.), Mudryk (85')
Matviyenko (31'), Zubkov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Malta and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Italy 4-0 Malta
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England51413
2Italy5610
3Ukraine6110
4North Macedonia6-77
5Malta6-140

Ukraine

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Ukraine 2-0 N. Macedonia
Saturday, October 14 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England51413
2Italy5610
3Ukraine6110
4North Macedonia6-77
5Malta6-140

We said: Malta 0-3 Ukraine

 Asserting their dominance in this fixture has not been Ukraine's forte, as Malta memorably overcame the Blue and Yellow in a 2017 friendly before only losing out to a Tsygankov spot kick in their maiden competitive meeting this year. However, the Reds' resistance should be futile here, and without the services of Teuma or Jones in the final third, another goalless defeat lies in store as Ukraine boost their top-two hopes again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
MaltaDrawUkraine
18.1% (0.233 0.23) 22.3% (0.286 0.29) 59.6% (-0.513 -0.51)
Both teams to score 50.65% (-0.465 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.846 -0.85)47.5% (0.85 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.786 -0.79)69.71% (0.791 0.79)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)40.02% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-0.207 -0.21)76.67% (0.212 0.21)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.452 -0.45)15.55% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.851 -0.85)44.49% (0.855 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Malta 18.1%
    Ukraine 59.59%
    Draw 22.3%
MaltaDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.165 0.17)
2-1 @ 4.86% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.61% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.1%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 10.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.69% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.85% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 59.59%

How you voted: Malta vs Ukraine

Malta
10.8%
Draw
10.8%
Ukraine
78.3%
83
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
1-0
Malta
Tsygankov (72' pen.)
Vanat (43'), Malinovskyi (56')

Borg (51'), Borg (70')
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