MX23RW : Monday, December 30 18:49:41| >> :600:6737455:6737455:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Malta national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Infetti Ground
Ukraine national football team

Malta
1 - 3
Ukraine

Mbong (12')
Marcolini (59'), Pisani (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Camenzuli (38' og.), Dovbyk (43' pen.), Mudryk (85')
Matviyenko (31'), Zubkov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Malta and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Italy 4-0 Malta
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England51413
2Italy5610
3Ukraine6110
4North Macedonia6-77
5Malta6-140

Ukraine

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Ukraine 2-0 N. Macedonia
Saturday, October 14 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1England51413
2Italy5610
3Ukraine6110
4North Macedonia6-77
5Malta6-140

We said: Malta 0-3 Ukraine

 Asserting their dominance in this fixture has not been Ukraine's forte, as Malta memorably overcame the Blue and Yellow in a 2017 friendly before only losing out to a Tsygankov spot kick in their maiden competitive meeting this year. However, the Reds' resistance should be futile here, and without the services of Teuma or Jones in the final third, another goalless defeat lies in store as Ukraine boost their top-two hopes again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
MaltaDrawUkraine
18.1% (0.233 0.23) 22.3% (0.286 0.29) 59.6% (-0.513 -0.51)
Both teams to score 50.65% (-0.465 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.846 -0.85)47.5% (0.85 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.786 -0.79)69.71% (0.791 0.79)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (-0.22600000000001 -0.23)40.02% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-0.207 -0.21)76.67% (0.212 0.21)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (-0.452 -0.45)15.55% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (-0.851 -0.85)44.49% (0.855 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Malta 18.1%
    Ukraine 59.59%
    Draw 22.3%
MaltaDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 5.7% (0.165 0.17)
2-1 @ 4.86% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.61% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.1%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.23 0.23)
0-2 @ 10.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.69% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-4 @ 3.11% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.85% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 59.59%

How you voted: Malta vs Ukraine

Malta
10.8%
Draw
10.8%
Ukraine
78.3%
83
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
1-0
Malta
Tsygankov (72' pen.)
Vanat (43'), Malinovskyi (56')

Borg (51'), Borg (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
3Arsenal18106235161936
4Chelsea18105338211735
5Manchester CityMan City199463226631
6Bournemouth198652923630
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton186842726126
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford187383232024
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
19Ipswich TownIpswich1826101633-1712
20Southampton1913151239-276
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!