MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 11:54:59| >> :600:8613373:8613373:
Netherlands national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Gibraltar national football team

Netherlands
3 - 0
Gibraltar

Depay (23'), Ake (50', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Casciaro (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Netherlands and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Netherlands could line up in their Euro 2024 qualification match against Gibraltar.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 4-0 Netherlands
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Netherlands 5-0 Gibraltar

Netherlands were so disappointing against France last time out, but we are fully expecting Koeman's side to bounce back in this match. Gibraltar would not have wanted to face Holland off the back of a heavy loss, and we are tipping the home side to win their second game in the section in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 99.58%. A draw had a probability of 0.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 5-0 with a probability of 17.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (15.72%) and 6-0 (15.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.42%) The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawGibraltar
99.58%0.42% (0.006 0.01) 0% (-0.006 -0.01)
Both teams to score 0% (-1.548 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
90.96% (-0.607 -0.61)9.04% (0.607 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
79.45% (-1.117 -1.12)20.55% (1.117 1.12)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.58% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)0.42% (0.034 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
97.27% (-0.187 -0.19)2.73% (0.187 0.19)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
0% (-1.554 -1.55)100% (1.554 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
0% (-0.012 -0.01)100% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 99.55%
    Gibraltar 0%
    Draw 0.42%
NetherlandsDrawGibraltar
5-0 @ 17.19% (0.39 0.39)
4-0 @ 15.72% (0.59 0.59)
6-0 @ 15.67% (0.13 0.13)
7-0 @ 12.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-0 @ 11.5% (0.6 0.6)
8-0 @ 8.37% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.42 0.42)
9-0 @ 5.08% (-0.194 -0.19)
10-0 @ 2.78% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 2.31% (0.186 0.19)
11-0 @ 1.38% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1%
Total : 99.55%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 0.42%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Gibraltar

Netherlands
84.2%
Draw
6.3%
Gibraltar
9.5%
95
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group G
Netherlands
6-0
Gibraltar
Van Dijk (9'), Depay (21', 45+3' pen.), Dumfries (48'), Danjuma (75'), Malen (86')

Torilla (18')
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Group G
Gibraltar
0-7
Netherlands

Ronan (31'), De Barr (90+3')
Berghuis (42'), De Jong (55'), Depay (61', 88'), Wijnaldum (62'), Malen (64'), Van de Beek (85')
Klaassen (38'), Gravenberch (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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