MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:43:17| >> :120:56628:56628:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Gibraltar national football team

Bulgaria
5 - 1
Gibraltar

Antov (23'), Despodov (36'), Kirilov (52'), Stefanov (55'), Petkov (81')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Chipolina (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Georgia 0-0 Bulgaria
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Gibraltar

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: N. Macedonia 4-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Bulgaria 2-0 Gibraltar

 Having already earned a shock draw against Bulgaria, Gibraltar will be confident of at least repeating that feat on Friday. Nevertheless, the home side should still have enough quality to come through this contest, even if they are made to fight along the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.

Result
BulgariaDrawGibraltar
57.24% (-0.112 -0.11) 23.5% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 19.26% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26% (-0.108 -0.11)50.74% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)72.63% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)17.5% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99% (-0.139 -0.14)48.01% (0.142 0.14)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.41% (0.009999999999998 0.01)40.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.81% (0.009999999999998 0.01)77.19% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 57.24%
    Gibraltar 19.26%
    Draw 23.5%
BulgariaDrawGibraltar
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 57.24%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.26%

How you voted: Bulgaria vs Gibraltar

Bulgaria
78.4%
Draw
13.4%
Gibraltar
8.2%
97
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
League C4
Gibraltar
1-1
Bulgaria
Walker (61' pen.)
Walker (8'), Torilla (68'), Coleing (85'), Annesley (90+1')
Minchev (45+1')
Kraev (60'), Hristov (88'), Jordanov (90+5')
Nov 11, 2020 5.30pm
Bulgaria
3-0
Gibraltar
Tsvetkov (6'), Yomov (15'), Iliev (45')

Annesley (73'), Casciaro (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!