MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 23:11:42| >> :600:9431576:9431576:
Portugal national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Loule
Luxembourg national football team

Portugal
9 - 0
Luxembourg

Inacio (12', 45+4'), Ramos (18', 33'), Jota (57', 77'), Horta (67'), Fernandes (83'), Felix (88')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Thill (54'), Mahmutovic (65'), Gerson (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship Qualifying clash between Portugal and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Monday's Euro 2024 qualification match with Luxembourg.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Slovakia 0-1 Portugal
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Luxembourg 3-1 Iceland
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Portugal 2-0 Luxembourg

Luxembourg deserve huge credit for their recent performances and results in the section, but it is very difficult to back them to avoid defeat in this match. Portugal are looking strong under Martinez and have enough quality to comfortably make it six wins from their six games in Group J. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 77.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 7.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 3-0 (11.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 9-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawLuxembourg
77.03% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 15.24% (0.022 0.02) 7.73% (0.052099999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 42.36% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.58% (0.094999999999999 0.09)41.42% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19% (0.096000000000004 0.1)63.82% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.06% (0.012 0.01)8.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.48% (0.015999999999991 0.02)30.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.52% (0.195 0.2)53.48% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.05% (0.121 0.12)86.95% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 77.01%
    Luxembourg 7.73%
    Draw 15.24%
PortugalDrawLuxembourg
2-0 @ 13.93% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 11.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.02% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.24% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.27% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.01 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 77.01%
1-1 @ 7.23% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.73% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 15.24%
0-1 @ 2.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 2.26% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 0.94% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 7.73%

How you voted: Portugal vs Luxembourg

Portugal
82.8%
Draw
14.9%
Luxembourg
2.3%
87
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Luxembourg
0-6
Portugal
Ronaldo (9', 31'), Felix (15'), Silva (18'), Otavio (77'), Leao (88')
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Portugal
5-0
Luxembourg
Ronaldo (8' pen., 13' pen., 87'), Fernandes (17'), Palhinha (69')
Mendes (22'), Cancelo (84')
Mar 30, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Luxembourg
1-3
Portugal
Rodrigues (30')
Chanot (20')
Chanot (87')
Jota (45+2'), Ronaldo (51'), Palhinha (80')
Jota (39'), Dias (70'), Sanches (83')
Nov 17, 2019 2pm
Group Stage
Luxembourg
0-2
Portugal

Deville (7'), Chanot (16')
Fernandes (39'), Ronaldo (86')
Silva (71')
Oct 11, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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