We said: Romania 2-0 Belarus
While Belarus should be safe from succumbing to another thrashing, Romania will sense an excellent opportunity to lay down a marker for an automatic qualifying spot in Group I, and we are struggling beyond to see another routine victory for them after dispatching Andorra in their opening match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.31%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.