MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:50:17| >> :600:3353490:3353490:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Turkey national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadyum Samsun
Wales national football team

Turkey
2 - 0
Wales

Nayir (72'), Guler (80')
Celik (16'), Demiral (47'), Under (51'), Kahveci (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roberts (58')
Morrell (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Turkey and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Turkey

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Latvia 2-3 Turkey
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey306
2Croatia224
3Wales3-14
4Armenia213
5Latvia2-20

Wales

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 2-4 Armenia
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey306
2Croatia224
3Wales3-14
4Armenia213
5Latvia2-20

We said: Turkey 2-1 Wales

 With Turkey's two victories coming on the road, Kuntz's men are due a home victory in qualifying, and they could nick maximum points against Wales, who have won one of their last six European Championship away qualifiers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Wales had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawWales
43.93% (-13.662 -13.66) 21.71% (-0.869 -0.87) 34.36% (14.525 14.53)
Both teams to score 69.78% (16.975 16.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (16.311 16.31)29.83% (-16.318 -16.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (17.451 17.45)50.99% (-17.458 -17.46)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (1.255 1.26)14.5% (-1.263 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (2.375 2.38)42.49% (-2.383 -2.38)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (18.928 18.93)18.38% (-18.935 -18.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (24.58 24.58)49.52% (-24.587 -24.59)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 43.93%
    Wales 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
TurkeyDrawWales
2-1 @ 8.42% (-1.479 -1.48)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.677 -0.68)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-5.714 -5.71)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-5.061 -5.06)
3-2 @ 4.59% (1.585 1.59)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-2.984 -2.98)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.828 0.83)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-1.312 -1.31)
4-3 @ 1.25% (0.795 0.8)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-1.993 -1.99)
2-2 @ 7.13% (2.252 2.25)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-3.216 -3.22)
3-3 @ 2.59% (1.604 1.6)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (2.104 2.1)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-1.284 -1.28)
1-3 @ 4.17% (2.433 2.43)
2-3 @ 4.03% (2.422 2.42)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.966 0.97)
0-3 @ 2.16% (1.219 1.22)
1-4 @ 1.77% (1.338 1.34)
2-4 @ 1.71% (1.31 1.31)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.854 0.85)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.683 0.68)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: Turkey vs Wales

Turkey
75.8%
Draw
13.1%
Wales
11.1%
99
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2021 5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
0-2
Wales

Yilmaz (90+2'), Calhanoglu (90+2')
Ramsey (42'), Roberts (90+5')
Davies (90+2'), Mepham (90+2')
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