Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for England in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for England.
-0.62) 
0.88) 
