MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 01:17:36| >> :60:1586:1586:
Russia national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Arena Khimki
Serbia national football team

Russia
4 - 0
Serbia

Miranchuk (21' pen.), Osipenko (32'), Miranchuk (55'), Sergeev (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gajic (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Russia and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Russia

All competitions
Last Game: Russia 8-0 Cuba
Monday, November 20 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Serbia

All competitions
Last Game: Serbia 2-2 Bulgaria
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Russia 1-3 Serbia

 It remains to be seen how strong both nations will line up for Thursday's friendly, but Serbia's squad possesses more experience and quality, so the visitors can be regarded as favourites to come out on top in Moscow. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
RussiaDrawSerbia
57.7% (0.213 0.21) 22.74% (0.546 0.55) 19.56% (-0.757 -0.76)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-3.017 -3.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.79% (-3.406 -3.41)47.21% (3.408 3.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.56% (-3.247 -3.25)69.44% (3.249 3.25)
Russia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-1.1 -1.1)16.09% (1.102 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.52% (-2.049 -2.05)45.48% (2.052 2.05)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78% (-2.746 -2.75)38.22% (2.749 2.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.02% (-2.744 -2.74)74.98% (2.746 2.75)
Score Analysis
    Russia 57.69%
    Serbia 19.56%
    Draw 22.73%
RussiaDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 11.23% (1.15 1.15)
2-0 @ 10.26% (0.686 0.69)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.25% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.01% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.362 -0.36)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.223 -0.22)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 57.69%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.833 0.83)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.396 -0.4)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.198 -0.2)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.91% (0.405 0.4)
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 19.56%

How you voted: Russia vs Serbia

Russia
45.2%
Draw
20.4%
Serbia
34.4%
93
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Serbia
5-0
Russia
Radonjic (10'), Jovic (25', 45+1'), Vlahovic (41'), Mladenovic (64')
Mitrovic (82'), Gudelj (90')

Zhirkov (48'), Zabolotny (49'), Oblyakov (82')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2020 7.45pm
League B
Russia
3-1
Serbia
Dzyuba (48' pen., 81'), Karavayev (69')
Cheryshev (89')
Mitrovic (78')
Pavlovic (46'), Maksimovic (58')
> Preview
Jun 5, 2020 11pm
International Friendlies
Russia
P-P
Serbia
rhs 2.0
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