MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 16:43:32| >> :60:3:3:
Sweden national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Friends Arena
Serbia national football team

Sweden
0 - 3
Serbia


Hien (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Milinkovic-Savic (18'), Mitrovic (60'), Tadic (70')
Milenkovic (45+2'), Pavlovic (45+2'), Lukic (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Sweden and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Denmark 2-1 Sweden
Wednesday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 2-1 Serbia
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Sweden 1-1 Serbia

With lethal marksmen at both ends of the field, goals should be a guarantee on Saturday, and Serbia have typically responded well to suffering defeat over the past year. Such an ability to bounce back may not extend to victory on Swedish soil, as Tomasson's side gave Denmark a terrific run for their money and can realistically hope for a score draw, a marked improvement on their Nations League affairs with the Serbians. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
SwedenDrawSerbia
53.84% (0.073 0.07) 24.7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 21.46% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.118 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (0.17299999999999 0.17)52.8% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (0.146 0.15)74.43% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.096000000000004 0.1)19.56% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (0.156 0.16)51.48% (-0.154 -0.15)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55% (0.074999999999996 0.07)39.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86% (0.067999999999998 0.07)76.14% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 53.83%
    Serbia 21.46%
    Draw 24.7%
SwedenDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.59% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 53.83%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 21.46%

How you voted: Sweden vs Serbia

Sweden
48.4%
Draw
26.4%
Serbia
25.2%
159
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 7.45pm
League B
Serbia
4-1
Sweden
Mitrovic (18', 45+1', 50'), Lukic (70')
Claesson (15')
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
League B
Sweden
0-1
Serbia

Svanberg (34'), Olsson (42')
Jovic (45+3')
Gudelj (28'), Duricic (36'), Pavlovic (60'), Racic (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!