MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 21:39:32| >> :120:69419:69419:
Accrington Stanley
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Crown Ground
Leeds logo

Accrington
1 - 3
Leeds

Adekoya (81')
Coyle (39'), Adekoya (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harrison (23'), Firpo (66'), Sinisterra (68')
Greenwood (70')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United are through to the FA Cup fifth round after securing a 3-1 away victory against Accrington Stanley.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Accrington Stanley and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Brentford
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawLeeds United
16.86% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 20.39%62.74% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 54.45% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.8% (0.159 0.16)41.2% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (0.161 0.16)63.6% (-0.158 -0.16)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.197 0.2)37.73% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.191 0.19)74.51% (-0.19 -0.19)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (0.025999999999996 0.03)12.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (0.053000000000004 0.05)38.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 16.86%
    Leeds United 62.73%
    Draw 20.4%
Accrington StanleyDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 4.67% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.25% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.52% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 16.86%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.4%
0-2 @ 10.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.83% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 7.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 6.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.74% (0.012 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 62.73%

How you voted: Accrington vs Leeds

Accrington Stanley
14.1%
Draw
6.4%
Leeds United
79.5%
78
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Leeds
2-1
Accrington
Doukara (19', 38')
Doukara (51'), Tonge (52'), Pearce (71')
Berardi (89')
Gray (84')
Winnard (56'), Hunt (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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