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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
35.73% ( 0.05) | 25.41% ( 0.02) | 38.86% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.39% ( -0.11) | 47.6% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.19% ( -0.11) | 69.81% ( 0.1) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( -0.03) | 25.88% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( -0.03) | 60.86% ( 0.03) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( -0.09) | 24.15% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% ( -0.13) | 58.47% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |