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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Accrington
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Leigh (51'), Astley (79')
Coyle (38'), Rodgers (55'), Martin (86'), Hamilton (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sinclair (25'), Finley (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Bristol Rovers

On the back of only one league victory in their last 11 matches, we can predict playoff candidates Bristol Rovers moving closer to the top six with a hard-fought win over Accrington Stanley at The Crowd Ground on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBristol Rovers
35.73% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 25.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 38.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.113 -0.11)47.6% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.105 -0.11)69.81% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)25.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)60.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.15% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.131 -0.13)58.47% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 35.73%
    Bristol Rovers 38.86%
    Draw 25.4%
Accrington StanleyDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.86%

How you voted: Accrington vs Bristol Rovers

Accrington Stanley
27.3%
Draw
18.2%
Bristol Rovers
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Accrington
6-1
Bristol Rovers
Pritchard (8'), Charles (12', 17', 70'), Bishop (28', 48')
Pritchard (7'), McConville (44')
Nicholson (11')
Williams (61')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-3
Accrington
Rodman (4'), Clarke-Harris (41', 63')
Clarke (52'), Clarke-Harris (73')
Clark (18'), Finley (20'), Charles (77' pen.)
Conneely (10')
Conneely (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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