Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Barton Town Old Boys and Rugby Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton ON Chenecks 2-3 Barton Town Old Boys
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rugby Town win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Barton Town Old Boys had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rugby Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Barton Town Old Boys win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rugby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Barton Town Old Boys | Draw | Rugby Town |
37.2% ( -0.43) | 22.85% ( -0.09) | 39.95% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 65.9% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.88% ( 0.45) | 35.12% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.88% ( 0.5) | 57.12% ( -0.51) |
Barton Town Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% ( -0) | 19.44% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.72% ( 0) | 51.28% ( -0) |
Rugby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.8% ( 0.42) | 18.2% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.79% ( 0.71) | 49.21% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Barton Town Old Boys 37.2%
Rugby Town 39.95%
Draw 22.85%
Barton Town Old Boys | Draw | Rugby Town |
2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.4% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.95% |