Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barton Town Old Boys win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Newark Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barton Town Old Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Newark Town win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barton Town Old Boys would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.47) 
