MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 06:48:18| >> :600:121136:121136:
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 4, 2021 at 12.45pm UK
 
Morecambe

Buxton
0 - 1
Morecambe


Elliott (45+1'), Meikle (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stockton (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Buxton and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Buxton 1-3 Morecambe

As much as we would love to predict an upset here, we do think that Morecambe's higher-level quality should see them through the tie. Expect it to be nervy for the League One outfit though, particularly if they do not make a fast start to the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 58.67%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 20.83% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 0-1 (7.57%). The likeliest Buxton win was 2-1 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
BuxtonDrawMorecambe
20.83%20.49%58.67%
Both teams to score 61.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.85%35.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.84%57.16%
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70%30%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.88%66.12%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.18%11.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.95%37.05%
Score Analysis
    Buxton 20.83%
    Morecambe 58.67%
    Draw 20.49%
BuxtonDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 5.49%
1-0 @ 4.27%
2-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 2.35%
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 20.83%
1-1 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.49%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-2 @ 8.08%
0-1 @ 7.57%
1-3 @ 6.93%
0-3 @ 5.76%
2-3 @ 4.17%
1-4 @ 3.7%
0-4 @ 3.07%
2-4 @ 2.23%
1-5 @ 1.58%
0-5 @ 1.31%
2-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 58.67%

How you voted: Buxton vs Morecambe

Buxton
29.4%
Draw
47.1%
Morecambe
23.5%
17
rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
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11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
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