MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 10:21:34| >> :600:1066633:1066633:
Coventry City
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Wrexham AFC

Coventry
3 - 4
Wrexham

Sheaf (36'), Gyokeres (69'), Palmer (76')
Bidwell (83'), Rose (90+8')
Panzo (57')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dalby (12'), Lee (18'), O'Connor (45+6'), Mullin (58' pen.)
Dalby (16'), Mullin (45+8'), McAlinden (88'), Young (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Coventry City and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Solihull 1-2 Wrexham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League

We said: Coventry City 3-1 Wrexham

With both managers likely to hand some of their squad players rare game time, we expect to seen an entertaining affair at Coventry on Saturday evening. However, the hosts should have too much quality for their opponents in the end, even if their place in the English footballing pyramid is arguably a false one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Coventry CityDrawWrexham
40.03% (0.0010000000000048 0) 26.07%33.9%
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.65%
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.61%
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75%64.25% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 40.03%
    Wrexham 33.9%
    Draw 26.07%
Coventry CityDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.9%

How you voted: Coventry vs Wrexham

Coventry City
58.8%
Draw
5.9%
Wrexham
35.3%
34
rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
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20Southampton2313191653-376


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