Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Wrexham |
19.06% ( -0.25) | 23.44% ( -0) | 57.5% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.25% ( -0.33) | 50.75% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -0.29) | 72.65% ( 0.3) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.17% ( -0.47) | 40.83% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.59% ( -0.43) | 77.4% ( 0.43) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( -0.03) | 17.42% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.15% ( -0.05) | 47.85% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.06% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.86% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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