Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Wrexham |
19.06% ( -0.25) | 23.44% ( -0) | 57.5% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.25% ( -0.33) | 50.75% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -0.29) | 72.65% ( 0.3) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.17% ( -0.47) | 40.83% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.59% ( -0.43) | 77.4% ( 0.43) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.58% ( -0.03) | 17.42% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.15% ( -0.05) | 47.85% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.06% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.86% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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