Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 53.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham |
22% ( 0.23) | 24.19% | 53.81% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 50.92% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.77% ( 0.25) | 50.23% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.81% ( 0.22) | 72.18% ( -0.22) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.55% ( 0.37) | 37.45% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.76% ( 0.36) | 74.24% ( -0.36) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% ( 0.01) | 18.59% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% ( 0.01) | 49.86% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Wrexham |
1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.18% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Barnet | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Gateshead | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 28 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 25 |
14 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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