Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 36.01%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match.