Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grantham Town win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Newark Flowserve had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grantham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.05%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Newark Flowserve win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grantham Town would win this match.