FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
Hartlepool1 - 1Brackley Town
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Hartlepool United and Brackley Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hartlepool 4-3 Sutton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Southport 0-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Brackley Town |
52.52% ( -2.38) | 23.56% ( 0.93) | 23.92% ( 1.45) |
Both teams to score 55.28% ( -1.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.4% ( -2.54) | 45.6% ( 2.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.07% ( -2.47) | 67.93% ( 2.47) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% ( -1.75) | 17.34% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.27% ( -3.16) | 47.73% ( 3.17) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.88% ( -0.12) | 33.13% ( 0.12) |