Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Sutton United |
28.68% ( 0.03) | 25.33% ( 0) | 45.99% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.78% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.43% ( 0.01) | 49.57% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.4% ( 0) | 71.6% ( -0) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.56% ( 0.02) | 31.44% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.18% ( 0.03) | 67.82% ( -0.03) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( -0.01) | 21.56% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( -0.02) | 54.64% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 28.68% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 60 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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