FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 14, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The Camping World Community Stadium (Horsham, West Sussex)
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Horsham 1-3 Barnsley
Although Barnsley may have slipped up to draw the initial cup meeting, we do not see history repeating itself, which is why we believe that the EFL side will utilise their extra-quality to claim an away win and secure their place in the second round.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 82.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Horsham had a probability of 6.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Horsham win it was 2-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Barnsley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.
| Result |
| Horsham | Draw | Barnsley |
6.39% ( -0) | 11.42% ( -0) | 82.18% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.01) |
| 73.06% ( 0.01) | 26.93% ( -0.02) |
| 52.59% ( 0.02) | 47.4% ( -0.02) |
| 53.66% ( 0.01) | 46.34% ( -0.01) |
