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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Barnsley
2 - 2
Fleetwood

Cole (7'), O'Keeffe (88')
Williams (32'), Kane (38')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Quitirna (3', 34')
Broom (45'), Marriott (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Fleetwood Town

Barnsley eased past Shrewsbury to keep pace with the top two in League One in midweek, and the Reds will be targeting a relegation-threatened Fleetwood side as a good opportunity for another three points. The Cod Army were impressive at Reading on Tuesday and will be full of confidence heading to Yorkshire, but we believe the likes of Cole and potentially Styles will be too hot to handle for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
BarnsleyDrawFleetwood Town
48.71% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 23.62% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 27.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)65.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (0.010999999999996 0.01)17.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67% (0.018999999999998 0.02)48.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)28.63% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)64.43% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 48.71%
    Fleetwood Town 27.67%
    Draw 23.62%
BarnsleyDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Fleetwood

Barnsley
94.7%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Barnsley
2-1
Fleetwood
Norwood (64'), Cundy (86')
Muskwe (77' pen.)
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Barnsley
4-2
Fleetwood
Bahre (21'), Woodrow (34'), McGeehan (70'), Brown (79')
McGeehan (35'), Pinillos (42')
Evans (64'), Burns (77')
Wallace (58'), Coyle (58')
Souttar (65')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Fleetwood
1-3
Barnsley
Biggins (19')
Dempsey (76')
Brown (33'), Moore (41'), Thiam (93')
Brown (35'), Moncur (61'), Pinillos (65'), Moore (90')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Fleetwood
0-2
Barnsley

Davis (31')
Davis (47' og.), Scowen (84')
Winnall (31'), Fletcher (40'), Scowen (87')
rhs 2.0
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3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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