We said: Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 Fleetwood Town
With both sides struggling in their respective divisions, the two may have their priorities based elsewhere ahead of this clash.
Fleetwood have fielded relatively strong teams in their cup fixtures so far though, and should Johnson do so again, they should get the better of their fifth-tier hosts here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fleetwood Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fleetwood Town.