Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 46.38%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
46.38% ( -0.22) | 27.04% ( -0.03) | 26.58% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 47.23% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.62% ( 0.26) | 57.38% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.8% ( 0.21) | 78.2% ( -0.2) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% ( 0.01) | 24.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.72% ( 0.01) | 59.28% ( -0.01) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% ( 0.36) | 37.26% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.96% ( 0.35) | 74.05% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
1-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.74% Total : 26.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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