Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 46.38%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.