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FA Cup
Manchester City logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Arsenal logo

Man City
1 - 0
Arsenal

Ake (64')
Gundogan (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Holding (42'), Zinchenko (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Nathan Ake scores the only goal of the game as Manchester City edge past Arsenal 1-0 in a closely-fought FA Cup fourth-round battle at the Etihad Stadium.

Team News

Manchester City are without Phil Foden for this evening's FA Cup fourth-round tie against Arsenal at the Etihad Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Manchester City and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Friday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Manchester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Wolves
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Premier League

Arsenal

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 3-2 Man Utd
Sunday, January 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawArsenal
44.7% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 23.17% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 32.12% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 63.22% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.97% (0.11900000000001 0.12)38.02% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.7% (0.126 0.13)60.29% (-0.125 -0.13)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.024000000000001 0.02)17.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11% (0.040999999999997 0.04)47.88% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (0.102 0.1)23.42% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (0.15000000000001 0.15)57.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 44.7%
    Arsenal 32.12%
    Draw 23.17%
Manchester CityDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.23% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.12%

How you voted: Man City vs Arsenal

Manchester City
42.3%
Draw
18.2%
Arsenal
39.5%
527
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2022 12.30pm
Arsenal
1-2
Man City
Saka (31')
Xhaka (55'), Magalhaes (57'), Saka (63'), Holding (68')
Magalhaes (59')
Mahrez (57' pen.), Rodri (90+3')
Rodri (90+4'), Silva (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Man City
5-0
Arsenal
Gundogan (7'), Torres (12', 84'), Jesus (43'), Rodri (53')
Rodri (67')

Soares (24'), Kolasinac (28')
Xhaka (35')
Feb 21, 2021 4.30pm
Arsenal
0-1
Man City

Xhaka (53'), Bellerin (87')
Sterling (2')
Silva (51'), Cancelo (64')
> Match Report
Dec 22, 2020 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Arsenal
1-4
Man City
Lacazette (31')
Elneny (23'), Mustafi (25')
Jesus (3'), Mahrez (54'), Foden (59'), Laporte (73')
Silva (65')
Oct 17, 2020 5.30pm
Man City
1-0
Arsenal
Sterling (23')
Rodri (14'), Cancelo (63'), Dias (68'), Ake (84')

Partey (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
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