

Man City4 - 0Chelsea


The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, January 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Thursday, January 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.84%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 23.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.77%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester City | Draw | Chelsea |
55.84% (![]() | 20.56% (![]() | 23.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.12% (![]() | 31.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.57% (![]() | 53.42% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.44% (![]() | 11.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.51% (![]() | 36.49% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% (![]() | 25.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.18% (![]() | 60.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester City | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 9.41% (![]() 2-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.84% | 1-1 @ 8.72% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 5.9% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 23.59% |
How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea




