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Manchester City logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Chelsea logo

Man City
4 - 0
Chelsea

Mahrez (23', 85' pen.), Alvarez (30' pen.), Foden (38')
Rodri (54'), Silva (70'), Cancelo (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Gallagher (62')

The Match

Match Report

A merciless Manchester City pile the pressure on Chelsea boss Graham Potter with a straightforward 4-0 win in the third round of the FA Cup at the Etihad Stadium.

Team News

Teenage duo Bashir Humphreys and Lewis Hall both start for Chelsea versus Manchester City in the FA Cup third round.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Manchester City and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Sunday's FA Cup third-round clash with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's FA Cup third-round tie with Manchester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Man City
Thursday, January 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Man City
Thursday, January 5 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.84%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 23.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.77%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
55.84% (0.809 0.81) 20.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 23.59% (-0.77 -0.77)
Both teams to score 65.58% (-0.85799999999999 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.12% (-0.709 -0.71)31.88% (0.712 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.57% (-0.836 -0.84)53.42% (0.839 0.84)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)11.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)36.49% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.96199999999999 -0.96)25.85% (0.967 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (-1.325 -1.33)60.82% (1.328 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 55.84%
    Chelsea 23.59%
    Draw 20.56%
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.261 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.77% (0.067 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.244 0.24)
3-0 @ 5% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 4.58% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.042 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 55.84%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.04% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.73% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 23.59%

How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea

Manchester City
Draw
Chelsea
Manchester City
65.9%
Draw
12.8%
Chelsea
21.3%
164
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2023 8pm
Nov 9, 2022 8pm
Third Round
Man City
2-0
Chelsea
Mahrez (53'), Alvarez (58')

Koulibaly (18')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
Chelsea
0-1
Man City

Alonso (77'), Christensen (78'), Rudiger (84')
Jesus (53')
Laporte (65'), Dias (90+6')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Final
Man City
0-1
Chelsea

Gundogan (35'), Jesus (88')
Havertz (42')
Rudiger (57')
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal311711356263062
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31176851371457
4Chelsea31158854371753
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle30165952391353
6Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
7Aston Villa3114984646051
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3145222570-4517
20Southampton3124252374-5110


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