Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northwich Victoria win with a probability of 62.87%. A win for Squires Gate had a probability of 19.63% and a draw had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northwich Victoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Squires Gate win was 1-2 (4.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northwich Victoria would win this match.