FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Help For Heroes Stadium
Northwich Victoria3 - 2Squires Gate
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Northwich Victoria and Squires Gate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 3-2 Northwich Victoria
Saturday, December 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, December 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northwich Victoria win with a probability of 62.87%. A win for Squires Gate had a probability of 19.63% and a draw had a probability of 17.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northwich Victoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.42%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Squires Gate win was 1-2 (4.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northwich Victoria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northwich Victoria | Draw | Squires Gate |
62.87% ( -0.4) | 17.5% ( 0.17) | 19.63% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 71.58% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.97% ( -0.45) | 22.02% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.07% ( -0.63) | 40.93% ( 0.63) |
| Northwich Victoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.98% ( -0.19) | 7.02% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.34% ( -0.53) | 25.65% ( 0.53) |
| Squires Gate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.11) | 23.02% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.17% ( -0.16) | 56.83% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Northwich Victoria 62.87%
Squires Gate 19.63%
Draw 17.5%
| Northwich Victoria | Draw | Squires Gate |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)5-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.5% Total : 62.87% | 1-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 19.63% |
Form Guide
