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FA Cup
Sheffield United logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bramall Lane
Brighton logo

Sheff Utd
2 - 5
Brighton

Hamer (44'), Osula (45+8')
Norwood (10'), Hamer (45+7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Buonanotte (14'), Pedro (29' pen., 52' pen., 67'), Welbeck (90+7')
Webster (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Sheffield United and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 West Ham
Sunday, January 21 at 2pm in Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Wolves
Monday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Premier League

We said: Sheffield United 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

 Having finally been thwarted at the Amex once again, a Brighton side bereft of attacking options are at risk of further offensive disappointment against one of their bogey teams, who displayed tremendous grit to take a point off of West Ham. Both teams could certainly do without a fourth-round replay, but we are finding it impossible to pick a winner at Bramall Lane, where a low-scoring stalemate could be on the menu thanks to Sheffield United's knockout nous. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.59%) and 1-3 (6.5%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Sheffield UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.64% (1.994 1.99) 21.01% (0.146 0.15) 53.35% (-2.141 -2.14)
Both teams to score 66.34% (1.844 1.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09% (1.409 1.41)31.9% (-1.413 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54% (1.634 1.63)53.45% (-1.635 -1.64)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (2.222 2.22)24.39% (-2.224 -2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (3.038 3.04)58.8% (-3.041 -3.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.74% (-0.145 -0.14)12.26% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62% (-0.303 -0.3)38% (0.302 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield United 25.64%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 53.35%
    Draw 21.01%
Sheffield UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.285 0.29)
1-0 @ 4.22% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.307 0.31)
2-0 @ 2.98% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.308 0.31)
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.153 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.169 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.64%
1-1 @ 8.86% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.56% (0.263 0.26)
0-0 @ 2.99% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.204 0.2)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-2 @ 6.59% (-0.596 -0.6)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.53 -0.53)
0-3 @ 4.61% (-0.446 -0.45)
2-3 @ 4.59% (0.16 0.16)
1-4 @ 3.41% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.249 -0.25)
2-4 @ 2.41% (0.07 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.43% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-4 @ 1.13% (0.101 0.1)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-5 @ 1.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 53.35%

How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Brighton

Sheffield United
25.7%
Draw
22.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
51.4%
70
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Brighton
1-1
Sheff Utd
Adingra (6')
Buonanotte (45+3'), Adingra (66'), De Zerbi (75'), Balepa (77')
Dahoud (69')
Webster (74' og.)
Bogle (45+2'), Robinson (88')
> Match Report
Apr 24, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 33
Sheff Utd
1-0
Brighton
McGoldrick (19')
McGoldrick (24'), Baldock (77'), Stevens (88')
> Match Report
Dec 20, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 14
Brighton
1-1
Sheff Utd
Welbeck (87')
Dunk (33')
Bogle (63')
McGoldrick (70'), Osborn (86'), Burke (88'), Ramsdale (90'), Basham (90+3')
Lundstram (40')
> Match Report
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Sheff Utd
1-1
Brighton
> Match Report
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
Brighton
0-1
Sheff Utd
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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