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FA Cup
Gillingham
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Sheffield United logo

Gillingham
0 - 4
Sheff Utd


Coleman (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osula (14', 39'), McAtee (83', 87')
Thomas (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Gillingham and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Sheffield United

All competitions
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Gillingham 0-1 Sheffield United

 Rarely have Sheffield United entered a fixture this season as favourites, but Saturday's contest is one that they will not be considered as underdogs, although success against a resurgent Gillingham side is not a given. The Gills have made themselves difficult to beat in recent weeks under Clemence, but we believe that their Premier League counterparts will do just enough to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSheffield United
48.99% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 25.08% (-0.02 -0.02) 25.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.44% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.68% (0.055999999999997 0.06)50.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.048000000000002 0.05)72.27% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (0.051000000000002 0.05)20.56% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.92% (0.079000000000001 0.08)53.08% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 48.99%
    Sheffield United 25.92%
    Draw 25.08%
GillinghamDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 48.99%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.92%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Sheff Utd

Gillingham
35.9%
Draw
7.7%
Sheffield United
56.4%
39
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Sheff Utd
2-2
Gillingham
Sharp (32'), Freeman (61')
Duffy (81')
Wright (51', 58')
Wright (55'), Oshilaja (59')
Sep 4, 2016 2.15pm
Gillingham
1-2
Sheff Utd
Dack (34')
Oshilaja (46'), Pask (90')
Freeman (64'), Sharp (91' pen.)
Done (14'), Lafferty (32')
Apr 9, 2016 3pm
Sheff Utd
0-0
Gillingham
Edgar (26'), Sharp (80')
Ehmer (19'), Wright (45'), Dickenson (52'), Oshilaja (81'), Norris (88')
Aug 8, 2015 3pm
Gillingham
4-0
Sheff Utd
Osadebe (8'), Oshilaja (43'), Egan (82'), Dack (94')

Freeman (93')
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
Gillingham
2-0
Sheff Utd
McGlashan (86'), McDonald (94')
Marquis (34')
rhs 2.0
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