Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worksop Town win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Stratford Town had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worksop Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Stratford Town win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worksop Town would win this match.