MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:12:34| >> :600:395341:395341:
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 4
Harborough Town

Shields (90+5')
Adigun (27'), Fielding (44'), Vincent (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Malone (41'), Stephens (60', 72'), Forbes (87')
Kennedy (3'), Austin (4'), Starkie (30'), Cooper (77'), Forbes (88'), Forbes (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Tonbridge Angels and Harborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Harborough Town 1-0 Bury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHarborough Town
42.82% (5.01 5.01) 24.09% (-0.973 -0.97) 33.09% (-4.038 -4.04)
Both teams to score 60.26% (2.725 2.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (3.865 3.87)42.08% (-3.866 -3.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (3.77 3.77)64.48% (-3.771 -3.77)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (4.101 4.1)19.86% (-4.101 -4.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (6.231 6.23)51.97% (-6.233 -6.23)
Harborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.473 -0.47)24.8% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (-0.66 -0.66)59.38% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 42.82%
    Harborough Town 33.09%
    Draw 24.09%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHarborough Town
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.562 0.56)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.485 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.829 0.83)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.634 0.63)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.54 0.54)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.523 0.52)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.389 0.39)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.351 0.35)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.67 -0.67)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.312 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.904 -0.9)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.582 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-1.373 -1.37)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-1.036 -1.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.519 -0.52)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.09%

rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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