FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels1 - 4Harborough Town
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Tonbridge Angels and Harborough Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Harborough Town 1-0 Bury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Harborough Town |
42.82% ( 5.01) | 24.09% ( -0.97) | 33.09% ( -4.04) |
Both teams to score 60.26% ( 2.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.91% ( 3.87) | 42.08% ( -3.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.51% ( 3.77) | 64.48% ( -3.77) |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.13% ( 4.1) | 19.86% ( -4.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.03% ( 6.23) | 51.97% ( -6.23) |
Harborough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.19% ( -0.47) | 24.8% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.62% ( -0.66) | 59.38% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Tonbridge Angels 42.82%
Harborough Town 33.09%
Draw 24.09%
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Harborough Town |
2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.56) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.83) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.63) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.54) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.52) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.39) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.35) Other @ 3.06% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.67) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.9) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.58) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -1.37) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -1.04) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.52) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.09% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-21 16:11:46
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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