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FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Cray Wanderers
0 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

FT(HT: 0-0)
Fielding (64')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Cray Wanderers and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Cray Wanderers 3-0 Hastings
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Slough 3-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Cray Wanderers had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Cray Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result
Cray WanderersDrawTonbridge Angels
34.3% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 24.5% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 41.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 59.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.06% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cray Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15%24.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.45%
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)21.27% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)54.19% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cray Wanderers 34.3%
    Tonbridge Angels 41.2%
    Draw 24.5%
Cray WanderersDrawTonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 7.93%
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.3%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.14%
0-0 @ 5.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 8.18%
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 41.2%

rhs 2.0
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