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Walsall
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Carlisle United

Walsall
2 - 1
Carlisle

Williams (88'), James-Taylor (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Edmondson (29')
Mellish (40'), Armer (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Walsall and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-4 Carlisle
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-1 Carlisle United

Walsall and Carlisle are very evenly matched, as illustrated by their 0-0 draw earlier this month. There may be some goals in this encounter, due to the attacking threat posed by Danny Johnson and Krystian Dennis, but a replay could be on the cards to decide who progresses to the third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawCarlisle United
41.31% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03) 26.28% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 32.42% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04% (0.042999999999999 0.04)51.95% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.036999999999999 0.04)73.7% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.16% (0.0039999999999907 0)24.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.56% (0.0039999999999978 0)59.43% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04)30.03% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (0.056000000000004 0.06)66.16% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 41.31%
    Carlisle United 32.42%
    Draw 26.27%
WalsallDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.31%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 32.42%

How you voted: Walsall vs Carlisle

Walsall
45.7%
Draw
37.0%
Carlisle United
17.4%
46
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Walsall
1-0
Carlisle
Earing (45+2')
White (11'), Kiernan (61'), Rushworth (90+6')

Simeu (7')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
May 8, 2021 3pm
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Walsall
0-2
Carlisle

Gordon (52'), Bates (59')
Patrick (26'), Kayode (78')
Charters (27'), Armer (57'), Hayden (80')
rhs 2.0
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