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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Carlisle United

Tranmere
0 - 2
Carlisle

FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (1', 54' pen.)
Dennis (66'), Mellish (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Carlisle United

 With the two sides deadlocked in the table, it would make sense for Saturday's game to finish as a draw. Tranmere were frustrated by a team who came to Prenton Park with a defensive plan on Tuesday night, so Carlisle may choose to play for a point on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
47.69% (0.070999999999998 0.07) 25.68% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.22% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (0.070999999999998 0.07)52.22% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.08% (0.061 0.06)73.92% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (0.061999999999998 0.06)21.9% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (0.093000000000004 0.09)55.16% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.13%
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 47.68%
    Carlisle United 26.63%
    Draw 25.68%
Tranmere RoversDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.63%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Carlisle

Tranmere Rovers
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Carlisle United
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Tranmere
2-2
Carlisle
Hemmings (15'), Nevitt (76')
Hemmings (43'), Davies (44'), Cogley (88'), Murphy (90+1'), Clarke (90+2')
MacDonald (40'), Morris (90+1')
Patrick (55'), Sho-Silva (90+7')
Simeu (43'), Feeney (43'), Mellor (64'), Mellish (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Tranmere

Clough (37')
MacDonald (48' og.)
Hawkes (65'), Spearing (90+3')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Carlisle
2-3
Tranmere
Kayode (3'), Anderton (27')
Woolery (21'), Vaughan (43', 88')
Lewis (12')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Tranmere
1-0
Carlisle
Taylor (51')
Monthe (54'), Lewis (69')

Hayden (67')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Tranmere
3-0
Carlisle
Banks (45'), Norwood (64'), Monthe (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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