Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
47.69% ( 0.07) | 25.68% ( -0.02) | 26.63% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.78% ( 0.07) | 52.22% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.08% ( 0.06) | 73.92% ( -0.06) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% ( 0.06) | 21.9% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.84% ( 0.09) | 55.16% ( -0.09) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.58% ( 0) | 34.42% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.87% ( 0) | 71.13% |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |