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Championship header 2

League Two
Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Carlisle United

Salford City
1 - 4
Carlisle

Smith (52')
Nartey (45+2'), Leak (65'), Hendry (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (3', 80'), Guy (67'), Whelan (72')
Guy (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-3 Peterborough
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 0-2 Carlisle United

 Salford have endured a torrid time in front of goal in recent weeks and we expect Carlisle to take full advantage of that on Saturday. We think the Cumbrians will be too strong for the Ammies, and Salford's goal drought will continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
41.93% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 26.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.79% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.37% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)52.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)73.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)24.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.9% (0.010000000000005 0.01)59.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.55% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)66.77% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 41.92%
    Carlisle United 31.79%
    Draw 26.27%
Salford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.92%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.79%

How you voted: Salford City vs Carlisle

Salford City
27.8%
Draw
33.3%
Carlisle United
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Salford City
2-1
Carlisle
Watson (52' pen.), Smith (71')
Patrick (67')
Feeney (62'), Riley (82')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Dickenson (8'), Mellish (60')
Abrahams (29'), Clough (37'), Guy (84')
Morris (44')
Turnbull (39'), Lowe (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Salford City
1-1
Carlisle
Wilson (79')
Touray (17'), Turnbull (58')
Tanner (11')
Bennett (45+1'), Mellish (55')
Dec 2, 2020 7pm
Carlisle
2-1
Salford City
Alessandra (33'), Bennett (55')
Guy (2'), Mellish (36'), Kayode (45'), Tanner (66')
Dieseruvwe (90')
Touray (64'), Bernard (88')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Salford City
P-P
Carlisle
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
21Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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