FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Wolves3 - 2Brentford
The Match
Match Report
Matheus Cunha scores an extra-time winner as Wolverhampton Wanderers sink Brentford 3-2 in their FA Cup third-round replay, while Bristol City beat West Ham United.
Team News
Joe Hodge starts for Wolverhampton Wanderers against Brentford in their FA Cup third round replay on Tuesday night.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Wolves
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Friday, January 5 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brentford |
36.31% ( 0.02) | 24.75% ( 0.01) | 38.94% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.62% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.48% ( -0.04) | 44.53% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.11% ( -0.04) | 66.89% ( 0.04) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% ( -0.01) | 24.12% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.58% ( -0.01) | 58.42% ( 0.01) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% ( -0.03) | 22.74% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.58% ( -0.05) | 56.42% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers 36.31%
Brentford 38.94%
Draw 24.75%
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brentford |
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 36.31% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.94% |
How you voted: Wolves vs Brentford
Wolverhampton Wanderers
83.7%Draw
5.7%Brentford
10.6%123
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 7.15pm
Third Round
Brentford
1-1
Wolves
Dec 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Brentford
1-4
Wolves
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-21 14:19:30
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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